Suggested Readings: July 28 – August 3, 2018

作者:Robert A. Kapp  来源:US-China Perception Monitor

July 28 – August 3

PRC Domestic

http://chinaheritage.net/journal/imminent-fears-immediate-hopes-a-beijing-jeremiad/ MUST READ, in a quiet room with ample time.  A well known Tsinghua University law professor writes a complex essay, in the manner of a Remonstrance to the Emperor, about errors in China’s current direction, and calls for specific policy changes including re-evaluation of the official judgment on the June 4, 1989 tragedy and reversal of the recently-approved elimination of term limits on the presidency and premiership.  Although Western critics of China may become over-excited by this, the document itself, and the commentary and translation shown here, are elegant and significant.

http://uselesstree.typepad.com/useless_tree/2018/07/the-unbearable-lightness-of-beijing-july-2018.html An interesting blog post from Williams College China guru Sam Crane, about the “feel” of Beijing this summer as he makes his annual visit.  Quite sensitive, in both senses of the term.

https://www.caixinglobal.com/2018-07-31/editorial-how-china-should-tackle-its-economic-dilemma-101310104.html What makes this Caixin editorial about the challenges facing China’s economy and the measures needed to meet those challenges is the frankness with which it acknowledges that most of the points it makes have been made for years, without definite resolution.  Still stuck on many of the perennial issues, as “Reform” stumbles.

https://tinyurl.com/y9ed6cch  More signs of economic slowing.  Manufacturing PMI down, though still above the dividing line between expansion and contraction.

https://tinyurl.com/y9rgcn7d  Controversy arises over allegedly over-confident assessments, by one of the PRC’s most renowned economists and “public intellectuals,” of China’s overall national strength as compared to that of the US.

https://tinyurl.com/y75pkhy8   Xi orders the military to clean up its act and get out of profit-making schemes and activities.  This is not a new theme, to put it mildly.


PRC Global

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/theworldpost/wp/2018/07/27/america-china/?utm_term=.bade5b88b72f  Editor Nathan Gardels’s thoughtful intro to a series of hyperlinked essays in this week’s Worldpost, all dealing with the new global order that may emerge under China’s influence.  Click on the links.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/theworldpost/wp/2018/07/25/us-china-2/?utm_term=.121c87b222da  Economist Jeffrey Sachs has long been famous, though not always right: his advocacy of “big bang” reform of the former Soviet Union and the color-revolution countries has by now been largely dismissed.  But his essay here on the future of global innovation and the folly of U.S. attempts to smother Chinese innovation in the cradle may have greater credibility.

https://www.theguardian.com/cities/ng-interactive/2018/jul/30/what-china-belt-road-initiative-silk-road-explainer  The Western media obsession with the BRI continues, as slavishly responsive to PRC PR as the American media is to the White House’s every emission.  Here the Guardian on “What is the Belt and Road Initiative?”

https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/30/health/china-heart-medicine-vaccine-intl/index.html  Further on recent defective medicine scares.


U.S.-China

https://www.lawfareblog.com/foreign-investment-risk-review-modernization-act-2018 Analysis of the “Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act,” incorporated in the National Defense Authorization Act August 1.  The FIRRMA expands the scope of foreign investment review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), and is unquestionably focused on concerns over Chinese investments in the US, especially in areas of sensitive technology or military security.

https://www.congress.gov/bill/115th-congress/house-bill/5515/text  The full text of the recently passed National Defense Authorization Act, which contains the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act discussed in the preceding item.  Go to Title XVII for the provisions relating to CFIUS.

https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2018/08/01/2018-16474/addition-of-certain-entities-and-modification-of-entry-on-the-entity-list  US Commerce Department Bureau of Industry and Security names 44 additional Chinese entities as security threats to the US, imposes new export restrictions.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/01/business/china-tariffs-trump.html This article may be overcome by events by the time of posting:  US contemplating 25% tariffs on $200b of Chinese imports instead of 10%, Trump reported angry, hyper-hardliners in White House calling the shots.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/economy/article/2157381/us-competes-chinas-belt-and-road-initiative-new-asian-investment  US dips its toes ($113m) into development assistance in the “Indo-Pacific,” with inflated rhetoric.  This, after walking out on the Trans-Pacific Partnership and shredding US reputation in the region.

https://www.lawfareblog.com/what-national-counterintelligence-and-security-center-really-said-about-chinese-economic-espionage  Amid the rising tide of concern over PRC cyber-espionage, a useful refinement of what is under discussion.

https://www.lawfareblog.com/trade-war-china-us-cant-get-out-its-own-way A comprehensive and highly critical analysis of the ill effects for the United States arising from Trump Administration tariff moves against China over the past year.  Covers many elements and for that reason merits a MUST READ.

来源时间:2019/6/2   发布时间:2018/8/3

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